Your chances

Odds and seat prices

In short

With no boosts, every seat in a Get Hot Drop lot of N players has a 1 in N chance to win it. A seat costs the product's fair price plus 30%, divided by the seats. Boosts cost extra and raise your chance for one round only.

By lot size

More seats make each one cheaper and each chance smaller. Pick a size.

A 1,299-coin phone in a lot of

30 seats, one of them yours

One seat
Chance to win
60 coins
1 in 30
paid once
3.3%, with no boosts

Players by round

Round 130
Round 2~11
Final~5
Winner1

The seats against the price

The phone1,299 coins
All 30 seats1,800 coins

Together the seats cost 501 coins more than the phone.

A seat is the fair price × 1.3 ÷ seats, rounded up to the next 5 coins (to the next coin for products under 300). The difference between the seats and the product pays for delivery and for running the service. If you want the product itself, buying it costs less.

Round by round

A plain seat in a full 30-seat lot for the 1,299-coin phone. Each bar is your chance in that round.

  • Round 130 players38% to get through

    With a ×2 slice: 43%, for 3 coins

  • Round 2~11 players47% to get through

    With a ×2 slice: 57%, for 12 coins

  • Final~5 players20% to win

    With a ×2 slice: 43%, for 119 coins

A plain seatA bigger slice: ×2 is twice the share of the wheel

In a cut round the wheel stops under a window, and every player whose slice touches it goes through, at least 2 of them. How many depends on where the wheel stops, so the player counts after round 1 are estimates (~). In the final the wheel picks one slice, and your chance is your slice's share of the wheel.

What boosts change

A boost makes your slice of the wheel bigger for one round. It is optional and guarantees nothing.

A boost moves a cut round little, because the window matters more than the slice, and the final a lot. Other players' boosts make your share smaller, so your chance isn't final until the spin. The lot page shows it live, and what a boost would do to it before you pay.

Coins spent on boosts are not returned, whether you get through or not. A player who boosts in every round can spend more on boosts than on the seat. How boosts are priced.

Questions

What are the odds of winning on Get Hot Drop?
With no boosts, 1 in N for a lot of N players: 1 in 10 (10%) in a 10-seat lot, 1 in 30 (3.3%) in a 30-seat lot. Boosts, yours and other players', move it. The lot page shows your chance for the round ahead.
Does taking a seat early or late change my chance?
No. Every plain seat is the same width on the wheel, and where the wheel stops comes from a seed fixed before the first seat was taken.
Can I buy more than one seat?
No. One account per person, one seat per lot. The only way to widen your slice is a boost, and it lasts one round.
What do I get if I don't win?
Nothing from the seat or the boosts, apart from a relic perk or a partner discount where one applies. If the lot itself is cancelled, the seat is refunded in full. The official rules say the same.
Pick a lot

Every lot shows its seats, its rounds and the seat price before you join

Browse lots